Carbon Black Market Analysis (January 19)
01 Carbon Black Index
According to data from TuDuoDuo, the carbon black price index was 6419.5 on January 19th, remaining stable compared to the previous trading day.
02 Carbon Black Market Price
03 Analysis of Factors Affecting the Carbon Black Market
1. Upstream Raw Materials: Coal tar prices in Shandong were 3790 yuan/ton; in Shanxi, 3690 yuan/ton; and in Hebei, 3750 yuan/ton. The domestic high-temperature coal tar market continued its upward trend, but as coal tar prices reached high levels, further upward potential will narrow.
2. Carbon Black Supply: The operating rate of sample carbon black enterprises declined slightly. Affected by rising raw material prices, some large factories began to reduce production lines, while other smaller factories maintained low operating rates. Meanwhile, manufacturers in southern regions maintained low operating rates for an extended period. Overall, the operating rate of carbon black enterprises declined.
3. Downstream Demand: Recent plant operations have varied. Some all-steel tire manufacturers are facing increased pressure to ship their products and are implementing production controls to manage inventory. Meanwhile, some semi-steel tire manufacturers, supported by export orders, have increased their operating rates to high levels. Currently, these companies are in the inventory building phase, and inventory continues to rise.
04. Market Outlook
As of now, cost-side prices are driving the market, but new orders for downstream tires have not yet been negotiated. Most transactions are small-scale. In the short term, the raw material market is expected to consolidate at high levels, putting pressure on the carbon black industry. This suggests that there is still some room for price increases in new carbon black orders.
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