Carbon Black Market Analysis (January 23)
01 Carbon Black Index
According to data from TuDuoDuo, the carbon black price index was 6809.5 on January 23, an increase of 22.5 from the previous trading day.
02 Carbon Black Market Price
03 Analysis of the Impact on the Carbon Black Market
1. Upstream Raw Materials: Coal tar prices in Shandong were 4000 yuan/ton; in Shanxi, 3940 yuan/ton; and in Hebei, 3950 yuan/ton. The domestic high-temperature coal tar market continued its significant upward trend. With the Spring Festival holiday approaching, the market entered a stockpiling phase. Supported by the rigid demand from downstream factories, the coal tar market continued to climb.
2. Carbon Black Supply: The operating rate of sample carbon black enterprises declined slightly, while raw material prices rose sharply, increasing the pressure on the carbon black market. Some enterprises reduced production lines and adjusted their production schedules, leading to a decline in the market operating rate. Moreover, the carbon black market faces significant upward pressure in the short term, and the market operating rate may remain low in the future.
3. Downstream Demand: Semi-steel tires and all-season tires are being stocked up for the Spring Festival. Snow tire sales have increased slightly due to lower temperatures in northern regions, with demand awaiting snowfall and ample supply. All-steel tires saw heavy stockpiling in December, but digestion is slow due to the off-season.
Tight funds this month have led to a focus on cash collection, and stockpiling in the latter half of the month has pushed up channel inventory. Next week, there is a strong demand for snow tires in northern regions. Stockpiling for all-season tires is constrained by funding and high inventory levels, resulting in cautious purchasing. All-steel tire sales will be limited to immediate needs during the off-season.
04 Market Outlook
Currently, the significant increase in new orders for raw material coal tar has boosted market sentiment, but downstream buyers are cautious, resulting in generally low actual transaction volumes. In the carbon black market, new order offers have risen, but market negotiations are stagnant. New order prices are expected to follow suit.
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