Carbon Black Market Forecast Stable Trend
01 Carbon Black Index
According to data from TuDuoDuo, the carbon black price index was 5967.5 on December 9th, remaining stable compared to the previous trading day.
02 Carbon Black Market Price
03 Analysis of the Impact on the Carbon Black Market
1. Upstream Raw Materials: Coal tar prices in Shandong were 3460 yuan/ton; in Shanxi, 3400 yuan/ton; and in Hebei, 3410 yuan/ton. The domestic high-temperature coal tar market is transitioning steadily. In the short term, it will be difficult for the coal tar market to maintain prices, and there is a possibility of price easing at high levels.
2. Carbon Black Supply: Carbon black plant operating rates have increased slightly. In northern regions, carbon black plants are operating at high rates due to supply guarantees, with some plants undergoing rotating maintenance. However, in southern regions, carbon black plant operating rates are mostly low due to losses. Overall, the operating rate of carbon black plants shows a slight downward trend.
3. Downstream Demand: Most enterprises' plants are operating stably, while a few have experienced a slight decline in production, mainly due to insufficient orders. Some enterprises are undergoing maintenance, and production at these plants is gradually recovering, which will have a slight positive impact on overall production in the near future.
04. Market Outlook
As of now, no new orders for raw material coal tar have been released, limiting the influence of cost factors. Orders are mainly based on previous orders. Downstream tire companies have already received a large amount of stock, and their willingness to negotiate is generally low. Manufacturers are maintaining prices despite significant losses, but actual orders are slow to materialize, and the market for new orders remains stable.
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