Carbon Black Market Price Analysis(May 7, 2025)
01 Carbon Black Index
According to TDD, the carbon black price index on May 7 was 6356.5, stable from the previous trading day.
02 Carbon black market price
Today's carbon black market prices in some regions are temporarily stable, and the price of N330 mainstream products in the carbon black market is 6,300 yuan/ton in Shandong; Shanxi, 6200 yuan/ton; 6500 yuan/ton in Hebei; 6700 yuan/ton in Guangzhou and 6300 yuan/ton in Zhejiang.
03 Carbon black market impact analysis
1. Upstream raw materials: the price of coal tar in Shandong is 3130 yuan/ton; The price of coal tar in Shanxi is 3330 yuan/ton; The price of coal tar in Hebei is 3,150 yuan/ton, the demand for coal tar has fallen, and the price of coal tar has maintained a low trend after the downward shock.
2. Carbon black supply: Due to the decline in downstream procurement, the inventory of manufacturers has gradually accumulated, and the operating rate of manufacturers has continued to decline.
3. Downstream demand: the orders of most semi-steel tire enterprises have declined, the pressure on production and marketing of enterprises has increased, the overall inventory has shown a growth trend, and some enterprises have reduced their burden. Sales were slow in the month, corporate inventories continued to grow, and the overall shipments were not as good as last month. The order performance of most enterprises of all-steel tires is less than expected, the sale pressure increases, the overall inventory continues to be high, and the impact of the "Qingming" and "May Day" holidays is superimposed, and some enterprises have storage and maintenance arrangements.
04 Forecast for the future market
Up to now, the price of carbon black market has remained stable for the time being, the domestic high-temperature coal tar market is difficult to digest in the short term, the price of coal tar continues to be low, and the cost support is relatively limited.
The demand for downstream tires in the market is not performing well, and the purchase is still dominated by just demand and replenishment of the warehouse, and the demand lacks effective improvement; On the whole, the fundamentals of the carbon black market are weak and difficult to change, and it is expected that the price of carbon black will remain low.
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