Carbon Black Market: Stable & Pressured
Overview: In terms of market prices, the carbon black market price remains stable for the time being. The mainstream product price of N330 in the carbon black market is 6,200 yuan/ton in Shandong, 6,000 yuan/ton in Shanxi, 6,200 yuan/ton in Hebei, 6,400 yuan/ton in Guangzhou, and 6,200 yuan/ton in Zhejiang.
From the perspective of product profits, as of now, the theoretical profit of the carbon black industry is -220 yuan/ton, which has fallen slightly compared with last week. Taking Shandong as an example, the transaction price of the carbon black market remains stable for the time being.
At the same time, the price of raw material coal tar has not been released during the week, and the overall accounting of the carbon black market remains in a loss state.
Cost side: The coal tar market presents a dilemma of rising and falling
The domestic high-temperature coal tar market is still mainly on the sidelines, and the market lacks guiding prices. Prices remain stable in the short term. From the supply and demand perspective, since the domestic coal tar market itself is still in a state of supply less than demand, the downstream factory operation has declined, but it is still at a high level.
The supply and demand in some areas of the coal tar market are still tight, but the terminal demand has not improved, and the continued rise is insufficient. In the short term, the coal tar market is in a dilemma of rising and falling.
Demand side: There are differences in the operation of enterprises and the shipment performance is general
At present, the price policy of tire companies is stable, and the overall demand performance is poor. Some companies flexibly adjust their promotion strategies for different specifications. The overall market price fluctuations are not large in the short term, and the transaction flexibility remains unchanged.
It is understood that there is a certain degree of differentiation in the production scheduling of tire companies, and most of them are flexibly adjusted according to their own production capacity and order situation. Some small-scale all-steel tire companies are currently basically fully open to meet order supply.
Most companies in Shandong have stable equipment operation, limited orders, and the overall operation is mostly lower than the normal level. The overall shipment performance is general.
Carbon black supply: Market shipments are still under pressure, and the operating load of enterprises fluctuates narrowly
The operating load of carbon black enterprises in the main production areas fluctuates narrowly, and the market shipments of carbon black are still under pressure. Moreover, the cost pressure is relatively large after the price of raw materials rises.
The downstream delivery is low, the market negotiations are deadlocked, the manufacturers have increased inventory, and some enterprises have adjusted the operating load. Some manufacturers in Shanxi and Shandong have reduced their lines.
Forecast for the future market: Limited new orders in the carbon black market, mainly stable shipments
The domestic coal tar market itself is still in a state of supply less than demand. Although the operation of downstream factories has declined slightly, it is still at a high level. The support strength of the coal tar market is still there.
For carbon black, the cost side is still supported; the tire market acceptance price is still under negotiation, and the transaction price of some small orders is at a low level, but the raw material market price has a price expectation, which supports the carbon black manufacturers' quotations, and the space for continued decline is narrowed. Under the support of the raw material market price, the new orders in the market are mainly stable shipments.
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