Carbon Black Market: Stable with Adjustments
01 Carbon Black Index
According to Tuduoduo data, the carbon black price index on July 14 was 6160.75, which was stable compared with the previous trading day.
02 Carbon Black Market Price
Today's carbon black market price has been stable and downward. As of now, the mainstream product price of N330 in the carbon black market is 6,200 yuan/ton in Shandong; 6,000 yuan/ton in Shanxi; 6,200 yuan/ton in Hebei; 6,400 yuan/ton in Guangzhou, and 6,200 yuan/ton in Zhejiang.
03 Analysis of the impact of carbon black market
1. Upstream raw materials: coal tar price in Shandong is 3,350 yuan/ton; coal tar price in Shanxi is 3,300 yuan/ton; coal tar price in Hebei is 3,290 yuan/ton. The domestic high-temperature coal tar market is running firmly, and the market rise range continues to expand.
2. Carbon black supply: The operating load of carbon black enterprises in the main production areas fluctuated narrowly. There is still pressure on the shipment of carbon black market this week. In addition, the cost pressure is relatively large after the price of raw materials market rose. The downstream delivery is low, the market negotiation is deadlocked, the inventory of manufacturers has increased, some enterprises have adjusted the operating load, and some manufacturers in Shanxi and Shandong have reduced their lines.
3. Downstream demand: It is understood that the production schedule of maintenance enterprises has gradually returned to the normal level recently, which has boosted the capacity utilization rate of the overall sample enterprises.
The overall shipment performance of enterprises has been basically stable recently, and the output has decreased, which is conducive to the destocking of finished product inventory of enterprises. The inventory of some semi-steel tire enterprises has declined significantly.
04 Market Forecast
So far, after the price of raw materials market rose, the cost pressure increased, the enthusiasm of the tire market to receive goods was not high, the inventory of finished tires was high after the terminal consumption slowed down, the industry's capacity utilization rate declined, the demand side was weak, and the cost side was on the rise in the short term, which was beneficial to the negotiation mentality of carbon black to a certain extent. It is expected that new orders of carbon black will remain stable and the decline will narrow.
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