Carbon Black Market Weekly Analysis
1.1 Carbon Black Market Price Analysis
Domestic carbon black prices remained largely stable this week. As of Thursday, prices were 6,350 yuan/ton in Shandong; 5,950 yuan/ton in Shanxi; 6,450 yuan/ton in Hebei; 6,600 yuan/ton in Guangzhou; and 6,300 yuan/ton in Zhejiang.
New orders for raw coal tar have yet to be issued, and the expected limited production of coking plants in some regions may support raw coal tar prices this week. Currently, downstream tire companies are showing limited enthusiasm for accepting orders, primarily focusing on just-in-time purchases. New carbon black order negotiations are limited, and due to cost factors, new orders are expected to be weak.
1.2 Carbon Black Market Index Analysis
According to Tuduoduo data, the carbon black price index was 6,291 as of August 14, stable compared to the previous cycle.
2. Carbon Black Market Forecast
Looking ahead to the next cycle, new order negotiations in the domestic carbon black market are stable, with limited on-site actual trading volume. The price of raw material coal tar, which saw a rebound in tender prices at the end of the week, has stabilized and is expected to rise. This reversal in cost trends is providing positive support to the market. Furthermore, coking plants may face production restrictions in the near future, so positive market conditions remain. New carbon black order quotations are expected to maintain a positive price.
3. Carbon Black Industry N330 Profit Analysis
The market price of raw material coal tar has risen narrowly, increasing cost pressure. While new carbon black order quotations are expected to rise, actual order fulfillment is under significant pressure, and the current price increase is uncertain. In the profit data, carbon black prices are expected to close stable, and market losses are increasing. As of now, the theoretical weekly profit of the carbon black industry is -616 yuan/ton, a decrease of 16% from the previous week.
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