Carbon Black Price & Profit Analysis
Carbon Black Market Analysis
1.1 Carbon Black Market Price Analysis
Domestic carbon black prices saw a slight pullback towards the end of the week. As of Thursday, prices were: Shandong 5650 yuan/ton; Shanxi 5700 yuan/ton; Hebei 590 yuan/ton; Guangzhou 6050 yuan/ton; and Zhejiang 5900 yuan/ton.
The raw material coal tar market showed a polarized performance this week, with significant price increases in East China's tenders, while other regions saw no bids, leading to a strong wait-and-see attitude in the market. Low-priced orders were not being fulfilled, and manufacturers were willing to raise prices, but actual transaction volume was under pressure. Downstream buyers also showed resistance to high prices. However, rising costs led to a certain upward trend in new orders.
1.2 Carbon Black Market Index Analysis
According to data from TuDuoDuo, as of November 13th, the carbon black price index was 5808.5, an increase of 89.5 from the previous period.
2. Raw Material Market Analysis
2.1 Weekly Average Price Analysis of Coal Tar
This period saw mixed price movements in the domestic high-temperature coal tar market. Prices in Shandong province experienced a sharp increase, while new order prices in Shanxi and Hebei provinces remained under negotiation. Although there was room for further price increases, positive factors only provided support and were insufficient to drive such a large price increase. End-user demand did not show significant improvement, therefore, the price increase in Shandong is difficult to use as a guide, and the market should be treated with caution.
2.2 Weekly Average Price Analysis of Anthracene Oil
This period saw continued negotiations and consolidation in the domestic anthracene oil market. Price trends in the high-temperature coal tar market varied across regions, with Shandong experiencing a significant price increase. Anthracene oil holders showed a strong desire to push for further price increases. Downstream, the carbon black market showed signs of following the coal tar price increase trend, but actual price increases faced pressure. A reasonable price increase is expected in the short term for the anthracene oil market.
3. Carbon Black Market Outlook
Looking ahead to the next cycle, the domestic carbon black market is showing a willingness to push up new orders. Tenders for coal tar in Shandong and Anhui have seen significant increases, with costs driving the market. Some manufacturers are halting sales, but downstream buyers are also resistant to high prices. Actual orders still need to be negotiated, and the price increase remains to be seen.
4. Carbon Black Industry N330 Profit Analysis
The price of raw material coal tar has risen by as much as +310 yuan/ton, while the price increase in the carbon black market has been slower. Theoretically, the carbon black market is further widening its losses. As of now, the theoretical weekly profit for the carbon black industry is -308 yuan/ton, compared to -396 yuan/ton last week.
5. Market Operating Rate Statistics This Week
5.1 Carbon Black Market Operating Rate Analysis
Carbon black enterprises are increasing their operating rates. Three units in Shandong and Shanxi have resumed operation after maintenance. With the heating season starting, some enterprises will operate at high capacity. However, the carbon black market has long been unprofitable, and some enterprises are also operating at low capacity.
5.2 Downstream Market Operating Rate Analysis
The operating rate of semi-steel tires in China was 73%. The operating rate of all-steel tires in China was 64%. During the period, the operating rate of semi-steel tires remained relatively stable, while the operating rate of all-steel tires declined. Most sample semi-steel tire companies operated stably during the period, with narrow fluctuations in operating rates. A few sample all-steel tire companies had maintenance schedules during the period, dragging down the overall operating rate.
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