China Carbon Black Market This Week
Carbon Black Market Analysis
Carbon Black Market Price Analysis
This week, domestic carbon black prices showed a slight downward trend in some regions. As of Thursday, prices were 6,400 yuan/ton in Shandong; 6,200 yuan/ton in Shanxi; 6,500 yuan/ton in Hebei; 6,600 yuan/ton in Guangzhou; and 6,400 yuan/ton in Zhejiang. New order prices for raw material coal tar declined during the week, negatively impacting the market due to cost factors.
Market participants are bearish on the outlook. Carbon black manufacturers are actively shipping, but downstream buyers are less enthusiastic. Maintenance at some companies during the holiday period has reduced demand, increasing market pressure. Carbon black prices are generally stable, with some regions showing a slight downward trend.
Carbon Black Market Index Analysis
According to Tuduoduo data, the carbon black price index was 6,394.5 as of September 25, down 31.5 points from the previous cycle.
Carbon Black Market Forecast
In the next cycle, with the decline in raw material coal tar prices and the negative market conditions, carbon black market prices are expected to decline.
Carbon Black Industry N330 Profit Analysis
New order prices for raw material coal tar have declined, while the carbon black market has remained largely stable, though some orders are still being traded at low levels. Theoretically, carbon black market profits have increased, but losses persist. As of now, the carbon black industry's theoretical weekly profit is -148 yuan/ton, up 112 yuan from last week.
This Week's Market Operating Rate Statistics
Carbon Black Market Operating Rate Analysis
Carbon black companies' operating loads have increased. A major plant in Shandong has gradually resumed operations, while companies in other regions have maintained low loads. The resumption of operations by some companies has boosted carbon black operating rates during the week, while some companies plan maintenance during or after the holiday period, resulting in no equipment shutdowns during the week.
Downstream Market Operating Rate Analysis
China's semi-steel tire operating rate is 73%. China's full-steel tire operating rate is 66%. At present, most tire companies maintain their previous operating levels, appropriately reserve post-holiday inventory, and make slight adjustments to the overall operating rate. Some small-scale semi-steel tire sample companies have entered the "National Day holiday" maintenance state in advance due to insufficient orders, which has slightly dragged down the semi-steel tire operating rate.
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