Natural Rubber Daily: Bulls and Bears Enduring, Market Quietly Strengthening

Index

On August 18, the STR20 price index for natural rubber in the Qingdao market was 2,260 USD/ton, down 10 USD/ton from the previous trading day.

Market Analysis

Futures Market

Spot Market

Supply

Overseas: Heavy rainfall in northeastern Thailand is disrupting tapping, with cup rubber supply tightening periodically. Southern Thailand is maintaining normal output. Latex market demand remains weak, and factories' latex procurement maintains essential needs.

Vietnam's main production areas are experiencing frequent nighttime rainfall, continuously interfering with tapping operations. Effective tapping time is reduced, the overall pace of raw material supply is sluggish, and raw material quotes have risen somewhat.

Domestic: Yunnan production areas continue to experience rainfall, making tapping operations difficult. Processing factories' willingness to purchase raw materials at higher prices is increasing.

Hainan production areas are affected by rainy weather, slowing the pace of raw material production. However, with expectations of strengthening weather disruptions, local processing factories are maintaining aggressive bidding for raw materials to ensure their own production and order delivery needs.

Demand

According to reports, maintenance enterprises are gradually resuming operations, and equipment operating rates will gradually return to normal levels, providing some boost to the industry's operating rate. However, market demand performance is below expectations, enterprise finished product destocking is slow, and the overall situation remains in a slow recovery trend.

Futures and Spot Price Overview

Market Outlook

Today's futures market maintained range-bound trading. Natural rubber spot quotes are overall stable, with a tepid market inquiry atmosphere. From the supply side, domestic production areas have no significant increase in actual rubber collection due to rainfall disruptions. Overseas factories are actively shipping, raw material procurement has increased, and raw material prices remain at high levels providing support. However, while downstream enterprises' operating rates show a recovery trend, they are making only small-quantity essential purchases with increased wait-and-see sentiment. The natural rubber market is expected to remain range-bound in the short term.

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