Natural Rubber Price Update (January 13)

January 14, 2026, 9:29 AM

TDD-global

4529

Guide

Highlights at a glance

On January 13, the Qingdao STR20 natural rubber price index declined by $10 to $1910 per ton. The market shows mixed signals: while Thailand experiences stronger dry rubber demand and rising latex prices due to production shifts, Vietnam faces seasonal output reductions from lower temperatures. Domestically, rubber tapping has halted in Yunnan and Hainan. Demand varies across tire manufacturers—semi-steel tire exporters see strong order growth boosting capacity, whereas some all-steel tire producers grapple with inventory pressures. Futures trading remains range-bound with weak momentum. Southeast Asian drought and cooler weather constrain peak-season output, but high overseas raw material costs provide underlying support. Market activity is subdued, with downstream buyers making only essential inquiries and limited order follow-through, suggesting continued resistance to significant price gains in the short term.

Index

On January 13th, the Qingdao STR20 price index for natural rubber was $1910/ton, down $10/ton from the previous trading day.

Market Analysis

Futures Market:

Spot Market

Supply Side:
International: Improved international demand for dry rubber in Thailand led to higher cup lump rubber purchase prices. Factories continued to pay premiums, resulting in a diversion of latex production and a subsequent price increase for latex. Temperatures in Vietnam's producing areas have decreased, causing a decline in dry rubber content and indicating a seasonal reduction in overall raw material production.

Domestic: Tapping has ceased in Yunnan and Hainan.

Demand Side: It is understood that tire companies have varying production schedules, adjusting flexibly based on their own inventory and order status. Some semi-steel tire companies have seen a surge in export orders, significantly increasing capacity utilization. However, some sample all-steel tire companies are facing inventory pressure, limiting capacity utilization and maintaining overall sales pressure.

Futures and Spot Price Overview

Market Outlook

Today, the futures market continued its range-bound trading pattern, with an overall weak trend. Drought conditions in Southeast Asia's main producing regions, coupled with slightly lower temperatures, are unfavorable for raw material output during the peak production season. High overseas raw material prices provide strong upstream cost support.

Trading activity in the market was relatively quiet, with downstream enterprises only maintaining a small number of immediate inquiries, and actual order follow-up insufficient. Bullish pressure remains, and short-term rubber price increases are limited.

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