PVC Market Weekly: Price Dip & Drivers
Spot analysis
This week (2025.5.15-2025.5.22), the spot market price showed a slight downward trend in the comprehensive comparison, giving back some of the gains last week, the atmosphere in the market has changed, and the futures market price has also slowly and narrowly declined from the high point.
Factors affecting the week:
1. The operation of the 2509 contract price showed a narrow downward trend from the high point during the week, the position changed slightly during the week, and some shorts returned in the high range of the market. The technical level of futures also began to weaken gradually during the week.
2. From the supply level, the operating load of PVC units decreased during the week, and the maintenance plan of production enterprises was implemented. The reduction in supply has alleviated the pressure of social inventory to a certain extent.
3. There has been no major change in demand. The enthusiasm of demand has not been suppressed after the price increase. The spot market is still dominated by small orders for rigid demand.
4. The overall commodity trend during the week also showed a certain downward trend, and the high sentiment has weakened.
5. The ex-factory price of calcium carbide fell slightly by 50 yuan/ton during the week, and the price of crude oil also fell.
6. There were no obvious stimulus factors in the policy port and foreign market during the week. Overall, the futures and spot markets showed a certain weakening trend during the week.
From the comparison of valuations, the North China region fell by 75 yuan/ton, the East China region fell by 50 yuan/ton, the South China region fell by 85 yuan/ton, the Northeast region fell by 55 yuan/ton, the Central China region fell by 50 yuan/ton, and the Southwest region fell by 15 yuan/ton.
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