Carbon Black Daily: Negotiations Stalemated, Price Support Under Pressure(Oct 27)

Carbon Black Daily: Negotiations Stalemated, Price Support Under Pressure

Carbon Black Index

According to TDD data calculations, the carbon black price index on October 27 stood at 9,460.5, down 21 from the previous trading day.

Carbon Black Market Price

Carbon Black Market Impact Analysis

1. Upstream Raw Materials: Coal tar prices in Shandong region stood at 5,510 yuan/ton; Shanxi region at 5,550 yuan/ton; Hebei region at 5,550 yuan/ton. The domestic high-temperature coal tar market remained temporarily stable. Under tight supply-demand conditions, coal tar prices are expected to remain at high levels, but dragged down by downstream sectors, the market is showing a stalemated trend.

2. Carbon Black Supply: The operating rate of sample enterprises in the domestic carbon black market showed a narrow increase. Post-holiday, manufacturers that resumed production gradually raised their operating rates. Approaching the heating season, some large plants conducted line maintenance rotations before ensuring supply guarantees, while some southern manufacturers maintained low operating rates. Overall, the carbon black market operating rate saw a modest increase.

3. Downstream Demand: According to industry sources, some enterprises' production enthusiasm remains muted, primarily due to high raw material prices and significant cost pressure. The overall industry operating rate falls short of the same period last year. A few mid-to-large enterprises maintain acceptable operating conditions with relatively stable production, but there are signs of incomplete product specification coverage, with certain models in tight supply, and product structural completeness remains to be improved.

Market Outlook

The domestic carbon black market shows a subdued atmosphere for new order negotiations, with limited new transactions and a slow trading pace. The raw material market is caught between upward and downward pressures, lacking clear directional guidance on the cost side, providing insufficient support for the carbon black market. Negotiation sentiment remains stalemated, with buyers and sellers locked in a standoff, making it difficult for carbon black new orders to maintain price support. However, tire market new orders are gradually being negotiated during the week, and demand is expected to show some improvement.

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