Carbon Black：Downstream headwinds pressure
01 Carbon Black Index
According to data from TuDuoDuo, the carbon black price index was 7294.5 on July 28th, remaining stable compared to the previous trading day.
02 Carbon Black Market Price
03 Analysis of the Impact on the Carbon Black Market
1. Upstream Raw Materials: Coal tar prices in Shandong were 3950 yuan/ton; in Shanxi, 4060 yuan/ton; and in Hebei, 3960 yuan/ton. The domestic high-temperature coal tar market remained stable for the time being. Driven by positive factors, the coal tar market has some room for price increases in the short term.
2. Carbon Black Supply: The operating rate of sample enterprises in the domestic carbon black market increased slightly. Some small factories in the region resumed normal operation. New orders are currently under negotiation. Large factories are mostly operating normally, resulting in little fluctuation in the market operating rate this week.
3. Downstream Demand: It is understood that on the supply side, most domestic tire companies continue their production control strategy, and the overall industry operating level is lower than usual. Coupled with the equipment maintenance plans of some factories at the end of the month, output will further contract in the short term. On the shipment side, domestic market orders are generally weak, and end-user sales are slow. Only the concentrated shipments from foreign trade at the end of the month provide limited support, which is insufficient to improve the overall weak production and sales situation.
04 Market Outlook
As of now, new orders in the raw material market are expected to continue rising, with costs continuing to benefit the market. Downstream purchasing activity is increasing, and there is a willingness to maintain prices for new orders in the market. However, end-users are under significant operating pressure and have limited capacity to accept high prices, putting pressure on carbon black price increases. Most new orders in the market are currently being offered with a wait-and-see attitude.
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