Carbon Black Market Analysis (December 29)
01 Carbon Black Index
According to data from TuDuoDuo, the carbon black price index was 5828.5 on December 29th, remaining stable compared to the previous trading day.
02 Carbon Black Market Price
03 Analysis of the Impact on the Carbon Black Market
1. Upstream Raw Materials: Coal tar prices in Shandong were 3320 yuan/ton; in Shanxi, 3250 yuan/ton; and in Hebei, 3320 yuan/ton. The domestic high-temperature coal tar market is mainly consolidating, with positive factors again dominating, suggesting some room for price increases.
2. Carbon Black Supply: Carbon black plant operating rates are consolidating within a narrow range. Large plants in Shandong and Shanxi are operating at higher rates due to heating and gas supply tasks, while some smaller plants are reducing operations to offset losses. Southern regions are maintaining low operating rates for an extended period. Overall, the operating rate of carbon black plants is consolidating within a narrow range.
3. Downstream Demand: Raw material prices are fluctuating, but cost support remains. Currently, most all-steel tire manufacturers are maintaining stable pricing policies. There are reports that some brands anticipate price reductions next month. Channel procurement is currently slow, with the focus on digesting inventory. Market sentiment remains cautious, awaiting further guidance from market demand and raw material prices.
04 Market Outlook
As of now, raw material coal tar prices have stopped falling and rebounded. Cost factors are influencing market sentiment, and the volume of negotiations at extremely low prices has decreased. Some manufacturers are willing to maintain prices, but downstream buyers have not yet accepted this. Actual orders are still under negotiation, and new order volume is limited within the current range. New orders are expected to remain stable for now.
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