Carbon black market price analysis (June 18)

1. Carbon black index

According to Tuduoduo data, the carbon black price index on June 18 was 6305, which was stable compared with the previous trading day.

2. Carbon black market price

Today, the carbon black market price remains stable. As of now, the mainstream product price of N330 in the carbon black market is 6300 yuan/ton in Shandong; 6100 yuan/ton in Shanxi; 6400 yuan/ton in Hebei; 6500 yuan/ton in Guangzhou, and 6300 yuan/ton in Zhejiang.

3. Analysis of the impact of carbon black market

1. Upstream raw materials: coal tar price in Shandong is 3345 yuan/ton; coal tar price in Shanxi is 3300 yuan/ton; coal tar price in Hebei is 3350 yuan/ton. The domestic high-temperature coal tar market is still mainly on the sidelines, and there is no auction price guidance in the main production areas.

2. Carbon black supply: The operating load of carbon black enterprises in the main production areas has increased slightly, and the operating load of enterprises that resumed production in the early stage has improved.

Although it is now in the stage of accumulating inventory, the current inventory pressure is still acceptable, and the market is expected to be positive in the later period, which has led to an increase in the enthusiasm of manufacturers to start production, and the overall operating rate of the carbon black market has increased.

3. Downstream demand: It is understood that most semi-steel tire companies have stable equipment operation. Some of them have suspended production due to power plant maintenance, which has a certain drag on the overall output. Recently, the company's foreign trade shipments are still good, and the overall domestic sales have not seen a significant improvement.

The overall order performance of the company is general, and the new production capacity of some companies has not yet been released. In order to control the increase in inventory, some companies maintain a relatively low operating state.

4. Market Forecast

So far, the domestic high-temperature coal tar market is still mainly on the sidelines. The negative factors in the market have not been digested at this stage. The upward pressure on the coal tar market is actually relatively large, and the cost side does not have a strong driving force on the carbon black market.

Some tire companies at the downstream end also have purchasing needs, which is beneficial to the carbon black market quotation. The price of new carbon black orders is expected to be high, but considering the high inventory level in the tire market, there is also a suppressive sentiment for the increase in raw materials. The new orders in the carbon black market are mainly maintained in a narrow range, and the fluctuation of new orders is limited.

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