Carbon Black Market Weak July
01 Carbon black index
According to Tuduoduo data, the carbon black price index on July 18 was 6123.25, which was stable compared with the previous trading day.
02 Carbon black market price
Today's carbon black market price has been stable and downward. As of now, the mainstream product price of N330 in the carbon black market is 6100 yuan/ton in Shandong; 5900 yuan/ton in Shanxi; 6200 yuan/ton in Hebei; 6400 yuan/ton in Guangzhou, and 6200 yuan/ton in Zhejiang.
03 Analysis of the impact of carbon black market
1. Upstream raw materials: coal tar price in Shandong is 3310 yuan/ton; coal tar price in Shanxi is 3420 yuan/ton; coal tar price in Hebei is 3300 yuan/ton. The domestic high-temperature coal tar market has expanded its rising range. Driven by the increase in auction prices in Shanxi, coking enterprises in various regions have a strong intention to maintain prices without inventory pressure.
2. Carbon black supply: The operating load of carbon black enterprises in the main production areas has declined slightly. There is still pressure on the shipment of carbon black market this week. The downstream tire market has a low focus on receiving goods.
The operating volume of other rubber products is limited. In addition, the price of the raw material market is strong. The operating pressure of the carbon black market is relatively large. The operating load of some manufacturers in Shandong and Shanxi regions has declined.
3. Downstream demand: It is understood that the domestic replacement market of semi-steel tires has performed steadily, the market is selling goods normally, and high temperatures continue in many regions, which has slightly boosted terminal replacement. However, the current market inventory is high, and the existing inventory is mainly digested. For full-steel tires, the weather is hot and the high temperature continues.
The terminal demand is expected to recover. There is no obvious performance at present. Merchants at all levels of the market mainly digest the previous inventory. Some brand agents continue to promote promotions within the month based on their own inventory.
04 Market Forecast
As of now, the supply of coal tar in some areas of the domestic coal tar market is relatively tight, so the coal tar market will continue to be strong, and there is a possibility of a rebound at a low level; the pricing of downstream tire factories continues to fall, which is unfavorable to market negotiations, upstream and downstream negotiations, high cost and inventory prices, and low spot prices, resulting in large losses for carbon black manufacturers, greater market operating pressure, and some companies have begun to reduce their burdens, and the carbon black market is operating weakly.
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