Oct 24 Qingdao Rubber Price Up
Index
On October 24th, the STR20 price index of natural rubber in the Qingdao market was $1,870/ton, up $10/ton from the previous trading day and remaining stable.
Market Analysis
Futures Market:
Spot Market
Supply:
Overseas: Typhoons in Thailand caused heavy rainfall in southern production areas, hindering the release of raw materials and prompting factory purchases to raise prices, driving up both glue and cup rubber prices. Typhoon-affected production areas in Vietnam limited overall raw material supply, supporting relatively firm glue prices.
Domestic: Rainfall decreased in Yunnan production areas, and raw material release returned to normal. Driven by the strong futures and spot markets, raw material purchase prices rose slightly. Typhoon Fengshen affected Hainan production areas, resulting in increased heavy rainfall and falling temperatures. This significantly tightened the supply of fresh glue on the island, limiting actual raw material purchases by local processing plants.
Demand: Raw material prices fluctuated slightly, and tire raw material costs remained generally stable. In the second half of the month, most companies maintained stable pricing policies, and trading flexibility remained unchanged. Some companies may introduce policies for the following month, but more companies are adopting a wait-and-see approach, resulting in stable prices.
Futures and Spot Prices Overview
Market Forecast
Today, the main rubber futures contract saw a volatile market, with spot prices rising in line with the market. Raw material prices remain high, providing strong short-term support for rubber prices. In the medium and long term, expectations of increased supply remain. Tire companies are reluctant to stockpile high-priced raw materials, which will impact the pace of inventory reduction. In the short term, rubber prices may remain relatively strong and volatile.
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