Carbon Black Daily: Weak and Stable, Awaiting Direction(Nov 4)

Carbon Black Daily: Weak and Stable, Awaiting Direction

Carbon Black Index

According to TDD data, on November 4, the carbon black price index was 9,304, down 22.5 from the previous trading day.

Carbon Black Market Price

Carbon Black Market Impact Analysis

1. Upstream Raw Materials

Coal tar prices: Shandong region 5,560 yuan/ton; Shanxi region 5,550 yuan/ton; Hebei region 5,550 yuan/ton. The domestic high-temperature coal tar market remains primarily in a wait-and-see mode, with long-short forces in play. The market remains in a dilemma between rising and falling, but overall bearish sentiment is relatively strong, with the market showing a weak trend.

2. Carbon Black Supply

The operating rate of sample enterprises in the domestic carbon black market showed a narrow increase. A manufacturer in the Shandong region resumed operations, driving up the regional operating rate. New order sales remain difficult, and the carbon black market is under pressure. Currently, manufacturers have limited enthusiasm for operations, with some large plants running at low operating rates. Overall, the carbon black market operating rate has seen a slight increase.

3. Downstream Demand

Industry profit levels are generally modest. Some enterprises, constrained by limited profit margins, are unable to operate at full capacity, and operating rates are somewhat restrained. A few medium-to-large enterprises have acceptable operating conditions, mostly flexibly scheduling production based on orders with relatively stable production rhythms. However, there are instances of incomplete product specification coverage, with some models in tight supply, and product structural completeness needs improvement.

Market Outlook

New orders in the domestic carbon black market maintain a weak negotiation pattern, with generally average trading activity and cautious operations from both buyers and sellers. The coal tar market tender has not yet been released, but as some prices stabilize, the market is gradually developing a stable outlook, and wait-and-see sentiment has eased somewhat. The downstream market maintains a rigid-demand procurement pace, with purchases primarily need-based. Transactions in the market are concentrated at the lower end, with high-level transactions facing difficulties. The negotiation atmosphere remains deadlocked. Attention should continue to be paid to tomorrow's new tender release to clarify cost-side guidance. New orders are expected to be primarily stable for delivery.

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