Carbon Black Market Stability Analysis
01 Carbon Black Index
According to Tuduoduo data, the carbon black price index on September 16th was 6426, stable compared to the previous trading day.
02 Carbon Black Market Price
Today's carbon black market price remained stable. As of now, the mainstream price of N330 carbon black product is 6400 yuan/ton in Shandong; 6200 yuan/ton in Shanxi; 6600 yuan/ton in Hebei; 6600 yuan/ton in Guangzhou; and 6400 yuan/ton in Zhejiang.
03 Carbon Black Market Impact Analysis
1. Upstream Raw Materials: Coal tar prices in Shandong are 3500 yuan/ton; in Shanxi, 3470 yuan/ton; and in Hebei, 3520 yuan/ton. The domestic high-temperature coal tar market is generally in a state of consolidation and wait-and-see mode.
2. Carbon Black Supply: Carbon black manufacturers are operating at higher rates. Factories in Shanxi that were previously undergoing maintenance have resumed operations, while some production lines in Shandong have not yet resumed maintenance. Some companies in Northwest China are still undergoing maintenance and are expected to resume operations after the holiday. Consequently, the operating rate of the on-site carbon black market has increased.
3. Downstream Demand: Tire manufacturers are maintaining stable equipment, with most companies still implementing flexible production controls. Some common specifications remain out of stock, but overall shipments have not seen significant improvement. Some companies have been able to replenish out-of-stock specifications, but the current shortages have had a limited impact on overall shipments. Only some companies are experiencing common shortages and are waiting for orders to ship.
Market Forecast for April
Currently, there is an expectation of rising prices for raw material coal tar, which is positive for market sentiment. New orders in the carbon black market are expected to remain priced higher. However, the downstream tire market is still adopting a price-cutting mentality, with limited trading volume at high levels. The carbon black market is generally maintaining a firm price consolidation.
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