Carbon Black Market: Stable & Bullish Short-Term
01 Carbon Black Index
According to Tuduoduo data, the carbon black price index on July 22 was 6123.25, which was stable compared with the previous trading day.
02 Carbon Black Market Price
Today's carbon black market price remains stable. As of now, the mainstream product price of N330 in the carbon black market is 6100 yuan/ton in Shandong; 5900 yuan/ton in Shanxi; 6200 yuan/ton in Hebei; 6400 yuan/ton in Guangzhou, and 6200 yuan/ton in Zhejiang.
03 Carbon Black Market Impact Analysis
1. Upstream raw materials: coal tar price in Shandong is 3310 yuan/ton; coal tar price in Shanxi is 3420 yuan/ton; coal tar price in Hebei is 3300 yuan/ton. The domestic high-temperature coal tar market is mainly on the sidelines, and the bullish sentiment in the market is particularly strong in coking enterprises.
2. Carbon black supply: The operating load of carbon black enterprises in the main production areas has declined slightly. There is still pressure on the shipment of carbon black market this week. The downstream tire market has a low center of gravity for receiving goods. The operating volume of other rubber products is limited. In addition, the price of the raw material market is strong. The operating pressure of the carbon black market is relatively large. The operating load of some manufacturers in Shandong and Shanxi regions has declined.
3. Downstream demand: It is understood that the semi-steel tire enterprises that unexpectedly stopped production last week have now resumed normal operation. However, the overall order performance is insufficient, and it is difficult to continue to increase the start-up. The operating performance of most other enterprises is basically stable, and foreign trade is still good. There is still support for overall shipments, and the overall inventory is sufficient.
04 Market Forecast
So far, the raw material coal tar market has been running strong. With the positive factors occupying the upper side, the coal tar market will show a certain upward trend in the short term, and the cost side support is relatively preferred; the downstream operation has gradually increased, which is beneficial to the pricing of new orders. Some large manufacturers have the willingness to increase prices in their quotations, and new orders are under negotiation. Continue to pay attention to the raw material market. It is expected that the market performance this week will be higher than expected.
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