Natural Rubber Market Price Analysis(May 13, 2025)
Index
As of May 13, the price index for STR20 natural rubber in the Qingdao market was $1800/ton, an increase of $10/ton compared to the previous trading day.
Market Analysis
Spot Market
Supply:
Abroad: Thailand has successively entered a new round of rubber tapping season from north to south, but at the initial stage of rubber cutting, the quantity of raw materials is small and is easily affected by rain disruptions in the tapping operations.
Home: In areas of Yunnan and Hainan within the country, rubber tapping has gradually started, but the current capacity is relatively low, and raw material prices are temporarily high. In some regions of Hainan, there is an issue with powdery mildew.
In terms of demand: It is understood that driven by news, the prices of natural rubber, synthetic rubber, and other materials have increased, with continued support from raw material costs.
The market demand has not shown significant improvement, and the price policy continues, resulting in slow market demand. Most brands remain in a wait-and-see stance as the tire exhibition approaches. The likelihood of significant fluctuations in short-term price policies is low, with the market primarily focused on essential purchasing.
Future Market Forecast
Today, the closing price of the main rubber contract underwent slight adjustments. In terms of supply, the current phenological conditions are favorable, and the area for tapping in both domestic and foreign markets is gradually expanding, which is expected to increase the output of new rubber.
However, the short-term production release is still limited, and Thailand has announced a delay in tapping, resulting in a temporary strong support for raw materials.
The downstream purchasing enthusiasm is quite high, and sellers are cautious in quotation showing low enthusiasm for selling at lower prices, while actual transaction volumes in the market are average.
Although total inventory in Qingdao continues to accumulate slightly, macroeconomic news is leading the market towards a relatively stable state. It is expected that in the short term, rubber prices will maintain a tendency for strong fluctuations.
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