Stimulated by multiple factors, Brent crude oil breaks through $120 again

May 29, 2024, 11:58 AM

TDD-global

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Since May 19, international crude oil has seen eight consecutive days of rising prices, reaching a two-and-a-half-month high. This surge is driven by improving demand in Asia and challenges on the supply side, including EU sanctions on Russia and geopolitical tensions in the Persian Gulf. As the summer driving season begins, oil prices continue to climb, marking the longest streak of gains in over a decade.

Since May 19, international crude oil has risen for eight consecutive trading days!

International oil prices climbed to a more than two-and-a-half-month high on Monday (May 30), as the improvement of the epidemic in Asia rekindled the market's confidence in demand recovery, while the supply side faced increasing challenges: EU reached agreement, agreed Russia has been banned from exporting oil to the 27 EU nations; news that Iran seized two Greek tankers in the Persian Gulf over the weekend also raised concerns about the risk of oil shipments in the Strait of Hormuz.

Brent crude futures rose $2.24, or 1.8%, to settle at $121.67 a barrel on the day, the data showed, marking the first time Brent crude has returned above the $120 mark since March 9. U.S. WTI crude futures rose $1.79, or 1.56%, to $116.86 a barrel, extending their strong performance since last week.

As May draws to a close, Brent is on track for its sixth straight month of gains this month, which would be the longest such streak in more than a decade.

The months-long rally in oil prices has been buoyed by the conflict in Russia and Ukraine and by rising demand as more economies recover from coronavirus-related lockdown restrictions. In the U.S., the Memorial Day holiday weekend kicked off the summer driving season, with U.S. retail gasoline prices climbing further to record levels.

"There is clearly a lot of optimism in the crude oil market today," said Daniel Hynes, senior commodity strategist at ANZ. He noted that the market is already tightening ahead of the peak driving season, even if new EU sanctions on Russia have yet to be finalized, which will further boost demand.

Global demand for gasoline, diesel and jet fuel is already rising ahead of peak summer demand in the United States and Europe, and a further EU ban on Russian oil is expected to tighten the crude market.

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