Carbon Black Daily: Firm Quotes, "Cold" Transactions

01 Carbon Black Price Index

According to Tuduoduo data calculations, on September 15, the carbon black price index was 11,728.25, remaining stable compared to the previous trading day.

02 Carbon Black Market Price

03 Carbon Black Market Impact Analysis

1. Upstream Raw Materials

Coal tar prices: Shandong region 6,720 yuan/ton; Shanxi region 6,810 yuan/ton; Hebei region 6,770 yuan/ton. The high-temperature coal tar market remains firm at high levels with a wait-and-see stance. Downstream enterprises are becoming increasingly cautious about coal tar procurement. The market faces significant pressure for further upward movement, but under supply-demand support, the high-level pattern is unlikely to change in the short term.

2. Carbon Black Supply

The operating rate of sample enterprises in the domestic carbon black market has risen narrowly. A major manufacturer in Shandong has resumed operations after maintenance, boosting the regional operating rate. However, after the recent sharp rise in coal tar prices, new carbon black orders face shipping difficulties, with most mainly executing previous low-price orders. The carbon black market is under excessive operating pressure, and enterprises have plans to reduce loads. Some major manufacturers are running with reduced production lines. Overall, the increase in carbon black market operating rates is limited.

3. Downstream Demand

According to reports, some all-steel tire enterprises have recently conducted scheduled maintenance, mainly due to high raw material prices, difficulty in raising finished tire prices, and shipment performance below expectations. Some enterprises have moderately reduced production to alleviate pressure. Some all-steel and semi-steel tire enterprises still have maintenance plans, and the overall tire industry operating rate is expected to decline.

04 Market Outlook

The carbon black market continues the stalemate pattern of "high quotes, weak transactions." New order prices maintain high-level quotes, but downstream resistance to high prices is evident, with limited actual transaction volumes. Transactions are mainly concentrated on some existing orders and bundled new orders, and the overall trading atmosphere remains sluggish.

In summary, cost support remains, but demand follow-through is insufficient. In the short term, the carbon black market will maintain a relatively strong operation, with limited room for both upward and downward movement. A breakthrough still requires further guidance from the raw material side.

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