Carbon Black Market Awaits Raw Material Guidance（Sep 16）
Carbon Black Daily: Market "Holds Breath" Awaiting Raw Material Guidance
Carbon Black Price Index
According to TuDuoduo data calculations, the carbon black price index on September 16 was 11,728.25, remaining stable compared to the previous trading day.
Carbon Black Market Prices
Carbon Black Market Impact Analysis
1. Upstream Raw Materials: Coal tar prices in Shandong region were 6,720 yuan/ton; in Shanxi region, 6,810 yuan/ton; in Hebei region, 6,770 yuan/ton. The high-temperature coal tar market is temporarily holding prices steady with a wait-and-see stance. In the short term, high-temperature coal tar prices are expected to maintain a high-level volatile pattern.
2. Carbon Black Supply: The operating rate of sample enterprises in the domestic carbon black market showed a narrow increase. A major plant in Shandong region resumed production after completing maintenance, boosting the regional operating rate. However, as coal tar raw material prices have risen sharply, new carbon black orders are difficult to conclude, and most producers are mainly fulfilling previously contracted low-price orders. The carbon black market is under excessive operational pressure, with enterprises planning load reductions and some major plants running on reduced lines.
3. Downstream Demand: Raw material prices remain high and volatile, putting pressure on tire manufacturers' production operations. Companies are successively scheduling maintenance shutdowns to alleviate operational pressure. With the Mid-Autumn Festival and National Day approaching, multiple companies are arranging concentrated maintenance, with some maintenance periods lasting 10 days or more. A clear downward trend in industry operating rates is expected for mid-to-late September.
Market Forecast
The carbon black market continues its pattern of "high offers, weak transactions." New order negotiation prices remain elevated, but the overall trading atmosphere is lukewarm. Participants have limited capacity to accept high prices, with purchases predominantly consisting of small need-based orders. Large order follow-through is insufficient, and overall transaction volumes are low. On the cost side, new raw material orders have not yet been issued, leaving the market without clear directional guidance. Participants are predominantly in a wait-and-see mode, broadly monitoring developments within the week.
Overall, carbon black new order negotiation prices are expected to remain at high levels in the short term, but transaction follow-through will still depend on downstream acceptance and the final settlement level of raw material prices.
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