Carbon black:The downward trend is set (July 14)
01 Carbon Black Index
According to data from TuDuoDuo, the carbon black price index was 7438 on July 14th, remaining stable compared to the previous trading day.
02 Carbon Black Market Price
03 Analysis of Factors Affecting the Carbon Black Market
1. Upstream Raw Materials: Coal tar prices in Shandong were 4160 yuan/ton; in Shanxi, 4260 yuan/ton; and in Hebei, 4150 yuan/ton. The domestic high-temperature coal tar market remained weak and cautious, with increasing negative factors, suggesting further downside potential.
2. Carbon Black Supply: The operating rate of sample enterprises in the domestic carbon black market declined. A plant in East China resumed operation after maintenance, and other plants in East China were also undergoing maintenance. While the operating rate within the region remained relatively stable, the recent pressure to ship carbon black has been significant, leading some large plants to reduce their operating rates, resulting in decreased market enthusiasm.
3. Downstream Demand: It is understood that most of the sampled enterprises that underwent maintenance have resumed normal production, boosting the overall recovery in operating rates. However, due to external factors and order constraints, some enterprises are still undergoing periodic maintenance, limiting the overall increase in operating rates. Additionally, promotional policies are being interspersed to increase shipments and boost sales, but the overall effect is generally limited.
04. Market Outlook
As of now, the price of new orders in the raw material coal tar market has shown a significant downward trend. Negative cost factors are impacting market quotations, and new orders for carbon black are expected to follow suit. Downstream purchasing enthusiasm is low, with a strong wait-and-see attitude prevailing. The carbon black market is expected to see a downward trend in new orders.
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